Below are portions of the Mt. Holly NWS forecast discussion regarding a winter storm expected to impact NJ tomorrow into Friday. We expect an additional briefing from Mt. Holly NWS later today. The combined impacts of these hazards – snow, wind, extreme wind chills – rather than just snow totals, continues to be the primary concern. The full discussion and current forecast can be accessed here: www.weather.gov/phi. The snow total map can be found here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/WinterDSS.shtml
For those in the NE NJ Counties: NWS NYC has a published their thinking on the event as well: “While there will likely be light snow at times during the day on Thursday, the heaviest snowfall will occur Thursday evening into Friday morning. Near blizzard conditions are possible closer to the coast where winds are likely to be stronger.” The full forecast discussion from NWS NYC can be found here: www.weather.gov/nyc. The NWS NYC page contains a helpful graphic: https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=753556764673641&set=a.188187191210604.50415.177148895647767&type=1&theater
Stay informed about the forecast and conditions. Please share this information with those who don’t use social media. Check on elderly or disabled relatives and friends who live alone, or who are isolated.
We will continue to update you as we receive further information.
“BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING WITH THE LATTER DAY THE COLDER OF THE TWO. THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY COULD SEE SUB-ZERO TEMPERATURE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING
WITH SINGLE DIGITS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE ELSE.
WIND WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR AS WELL. WHILE TEMPERATURES WON`T BE AS COLD THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL BE GUSTING 20-25 MPH. THIS WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS -20F ACROSS THE
POCONOS, -10 TO -15F ACROSS THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY, 0 TO -10 ACROSS MOST EVERYWHERE ELSE. WITH LESS WIND FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING, WIND CHILLS WILL RANGE FROM 15 ABOVE TO -15. PRECIPITATION…A MIX OF SNOW, SLEET AND RAIN SHOULD MOVE IN ON THURSDAY. THIS TURNS TO ALL SNOW ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND STAYS THAT WAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE ENDING.
IMPACTS…WHILE SOME SNOW COULD BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE ON THURSDAY, SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS COULD BE FELT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. IMPACTS INCLUDE THE COMBINATION OF A BITTERLY COLD AIRMASS, GUSTY
WINDS PRODUCING DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS, LOW VISIBILITIES DUE TO FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. THE SNOW WILL BE FLUFFY WITH 20- TO POTENTIALLY 30-1 RATIOS WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
15-1 RATIOS SHOULD BE COMMON WHERE TEMPS HANG OUT IN THE TEENS.
FURTHER COMPLICATING THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF COASTAL (TIDAL) FLOODING AND FREEZING SPRAY ON AND RIGHT NEXT TO AREA WATERS.”